Shouldn't we just wait until the investigator (or the equivalent of it) come up with a lead?
Random lynch never works
This is a very suspicious thing to say, especially since no lynch got us nowhere. Like my initial reaction to Nerddragon's death is, "welp no lynch was a bad idea." It just gives ISIS a head start.
It also sounds like a ploy to dig out the investigator and other power roles.
Vote Bear.
I suspect Patrick too. Bear had subtly defended Patrick, so if Bear is guilty, it's likely that Patrick is too.
We do know a few things:
ISIS would have hit the biggest threat first. This would most likely be a power role like investigator or doctor. There are hints to these roles and I think I figured out who the investigator is but it would be dumb to expose him.
If there's a doctor (someone who prevents a mafia kill), he would likely be on me, unless he figured who the investigator was in round 1.
This would make the first kill be on someone other than me. It should be on someone who is of possible threat. Nerddragon voted for Patrick for good reasons, and I had unvoted Patrick. If Patrick was ISIS, that would make Nerddragon's threat level higher than me.
The investigator has two options - expose himself and an innocent person now or wait until he gets a confirmation on a guilty person.
If he exposes himself now, he will provide us with an ally we can trust. However, that makes him a direct target for ISIS. If there is no doctor, then the investigator and the proven innocent are both as good as dead.
If there is a doctor, it neuters ISIS a bit because they have to guess between killing the cop and killing the confirmed innocent(s). So this is one argument towards early exposition.
We know now that roles are exposed on death, so we can trust any info given by investigator after an autopsy confirms his righteousness.
However, this is not foolproof because I suspect the theme (ISIS and nations like Kuwait) allows ISIS to recruit "survivors" into their ranks. This is probably a one-shot or limited use move otherwise it'd be too OP.
The longer the investigator waits, the more time mafia gets to figure it out and hit him before he can say anything. So he should expose himself eventually.
If there is a doctor, he should
not admit it, because then there would be nobody to protect him.