~Election 2016~

I

Infinite Citadel

Odium
Bernie's trending up, not much change with the republican nomination~

Dem National:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html


Poll


Date


Sample


MoE


Clinton


Sanders


O'Malley


Spread


RCP Average


1/4 - 1/10


--


--


48.3


39.7


2.3


Clinton +8.6

Dem Iowa:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html


Poll


Date


Sample


MoE


Clinton


Sanders


O'Malley


Spread


RCP Average


1/2 - 1/12


--


--


46.8


42.8


5.2


Clinton +4.0

Dem NH:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html


Poll


Date


Sample


MoE


Sanders


Clinton


O'Malley


Spread


RCP Average


1/2 - 1/10


--


--


48.8


42.6


3.0


Sanders +6.2

Rep National: 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html


Poll


Date


Sample


Trump


Cruz


Rubio


Carson


Bush


Christie


Fiorina


Huckabee


Kasich


Paul


Santorum


Spread


RCP Average


1/4 - 1/10


--


35.0


19.0


11.3


8.0


4.7


3.0


2.7


2.0


2.0


2.0


0.0


Trump +16.0

Rep Iowa:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html


Poll


Date


Sample


Trump


Cruz


Rubio


Carson


Bush


Christie


Paul


Huckabee


Kasich


Fiorina


Santorum


Spread


RCP Average


1/2 - 1/12


--


27.3


26.9


11.9


9.0


4.4


4.0


3.9


2.4


2.4


1.7


1.0


Trump +0.4

Rep NH:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html


Poll


Date


Sample


Trump


Rubio


Kasich


Cruz


Christie


Bush


Paul


Fiorina


Carson


Santorum


Huckabee


Spread


RCP Average


1/2 - 1/10


--


30.2


13.2


11.2


10.8


9.5


8.7


4.0


3.8


3.5


0.8


0.7


Trump +17.0

 
Update: Clinton Up National, Sanders up in Iowa/NH; Trump holding steady in National Polls, up in Iowa/NH.

Dem National:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html


RCP Average


1/4 - 1/18


--


--


51.2


38.0


2.2


Clinton +13.2

Dem Iowa:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html


RCP Average


1/15 - 1/24


--


--


46.3


45.5


4.8


Sanders +0.8

Dem NH:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html


RCP Average


1/13 - 1/21


--


--


52.4


39.6


2.6


Sanders +12.8

Rep National: 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html


RCP Average


1/4 - 1/21


--


34.6


18.8


11.2


8.4


4.8


3.6


2.8


2.2


2.2


2.0


0.2


Trump +15.8

Rep Iowa:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html


RCP Average


1/15 - 1/24


--


33.6


27.2


11.8


7.2


3.6


3.6


3.0


2.2


2.0


1.4


1.2


Trump +6.4

Rep NH:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html


RCP Average


1/13 - 1/21


--


32.2


12.6


12.0


11.2


7.8


7.4


4.4


3.6


3.2


0.6


0.2


Trump +19.6

 
Heathcliff said:
Can someone explain this to an idiotic Englishman?
Click to expand...
Before the general election in the US, each of the major parties have primaries that determine their candidate. It's a pretty convoluted system, but long story each state has a vote for the primary and the delegates should pledge to the candidate that wins the state (in theory). The first two of these elections are in Iowa/New Hampshire and can really build momentum for a candidate. The polls I've been listing is from realclearpolitics.com, they take other polling sources and average them together. 

 
Infinite Citadel said:
Before the general election in the US, each of the major parties have primaries that determine their candidate. It's a pretty convoluted system, but long story each state has a vote for the primary and the delegates should pledge to the candidate that wins the state (in theory). The first two of these elections are in Iowa/New Hampshire and can really build momentum for a candidate. The polls I've been listing is from realclearpolitics.com, they take other polling sources and average them together. 
Click to expand...
Thanks, American politics aren't covered so much around here, mostly it's the new labour candidate choosing.

 
I'll bet any amount of P&W money against Bernie. 5 to 1 against him getting the nomination and 10 to 1 against him winning the final election.

 
I definitely don't think he's an underdog anymore. He's still being labeled as a "fringe" candidate when the reality is his polls have been pretty constant and have been increasing quite dramatically in a couple key democratic states, as evidence that he is currently in the lead by a significant margin in both of the key dem states listed above. I don't understand why people can be so certain he won't win. I don't think they understand the momentum behind him, and the fact that Hillary is becoming less and less popular as more Dems realize Sanders exists. Not to mention that apparently a lot of Republicans agree with Sanders on some issues. He has a very solid foundation of supports in the early stages. And now that this year is starting they can really advance their efforts to get Sanders more in the public eye and in the media. I plan on donating to his campaign because I believe in him. If most of his supporters donated only a tiny bit, he'd be raking in tons of campaign money that he needs to counterattack the media rampage Hillary will inevitably pay for with her corporate money. It's time the people should get more involved!

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I am still kinda skeptic that Sanders will get the Democrat candidacy, Out of all party candidates He is who I hope will win but I think CLinton will probably get in. If people don't realize how bad trump will be for the US then you are all dooomed.

 
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